European Storage and U.S. LNG: cautious optimism

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U.S. LNG’s summer from hell is almost over, as netbacks show an increasingly favorable environment. While U.S. LNG exporters can breathe a sigh of relief, it’s too soon to reach for the champagne: European storage injections are slowing but remain above last year’s highs, and many European countries are experiencing… Read more »

Fractionation Rates Crash Ahead?

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COVID 19 has reduced production from shale basins across the U.S., limiting wet gas production and the extraction of associated NGLs. In this article, we will discuss the impact of lower NGL production  on U.S. gulf coast fractionation balances and spot fractionation rates. Since 2012, robust oil-directed drilling has resulted… Read more »

Why did crude stocks decline?

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As we wrote in our July 2020 newsletter, crude and products demand faces a hard ceiling, a softer floor, and a narrowing range. Demand likely won’t exceed pre-COVID levels until the virus is defeated; new outbreaks could curtail demand (albeit not to April or May levels); and better understanding of… Read more »

Natural Gas Storage and Downside Risks

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It’s natural gas producers’ turn in the barrel. Natural gas prices are falling to historic lows amid higher-than-expected storage builds, but downside risks are severe and perhaps underappreciated. Domestic demand for natural gas has been crushed by COVID, and LNG exports are out of the money until September – and… Read more »