Ethane prices at Mont Belvieu have been on a roller coaster this year- from the lows of 10 cpg in March 2020, to 25 cpg in August, and more recently back to just under 20 cpg. A similar but more pronounced trend can be observed in the ethane frac-spreads at… Read more »
Posts Categorized: Articles
US natural gas exports: will they balance Henry Hub?
Henry Hub prices are in flux. In early Sept, spot prices traded around $2.50/MMBtu, an increase of nearly 80% over lows seen in late June. More surprisingly, the natural gas benchmark was trading about 13% higher than levels seen in the same prior-year period, despite the COVID-19 pandemic and the… Read more »
U.S. crude exports are just ok, for now
While U.S. crude exports are increasingly important for the health of the oil and gas complex, they have come under pressure amid the COVID-19 coronavirus. In this article, we’ll describe why crude exports matter, and why they’re probably going to drift upwards in subsequent months. Exports and Production The story… Read more »
Propane is in for a tough time
It’s been a tough Spring and Summer for U.S. propane markets. Netbacks from the international markets have come under severe pressure due to COVID-19. While prices bottomed out in March 2020, most benchmarks have still not recovered to year-ago levels, and export volume levels have only recently rebounded to year-ago… Read more »
Appalachian Basis: Pipeline Capacity Likely Sufficient
The Appalachian basin is likely to have ample pipeline takeaway capacity for the foreseeable future. With abundant spare pipeline capacity, we expect that Appalachian benchmarks will continue to show a narrowing of basis relative to Henry Hub. Appalachia’s “basis blowouts” seen in 2015 and 2016 are probably a thing of… Read more »
Hints of normality and Laura’s minimal impact
Gasoline and diesel demand continue to rise slowly and are even beginning to approximate “normal” levels. Hurricane Laura threatened to disrupt key nodes of the U.S. oil and gas complex, but both Port Arthur and Houston appears to have been largely spared. Hurricane Laura proved weaker than feared, and the… Read more »